Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 36-27 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 93.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 65.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 80.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
27
(63 meetings)
36
27
Crosby
Gourde
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
21
8
Crosby
Gourde
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
7
14
Crosby
Gourde
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
8
5
Crosby
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
48.4% (4,954)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
57.4% (376)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
39.9% (554)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
55.0% (11,972)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
53.6%
49.9%
P2
53.9%
47.4%
P3
53.3%
47.5%
OT
49.6%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |