Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Crosby wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 59.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Crosby
Gourde
Last 10: Crosby 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
2
Crosby
Gourde
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
5
Crosby
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Crosby
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
48.0% (914)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
54.2% (48)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On even strength, Crosby has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
59.2% (985)
50.2% (512)
Away
57.2% (887)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
57.3%
50.0%
P2
59.5%
45.3%
P3
58.5%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |