Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Crosby wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 59.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 78.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Crosby
Gourde
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
2
Crosby
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Crosby
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
2
Crosby
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
47.2% (654)
+6.5%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
45.0% (20)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
32.2% (87)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
56.9% (649)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.9% (590)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
55.8%
42.4%
P2
53.2%
49.8%
P3
58.7%
44.3%
OT
54.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:36 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |