Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 52.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crosby
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
51.2% (469)
+5.0%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
42.9% (21)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
37.5% (48)
+17.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
59.1% (939)
47.8% (301)
Away
54.7% (843)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
54.9%
47.3%
P2
60.8%
53.4%
P3
55.4%
48.6%
OT
53.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |