Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.8% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 53.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Crosby
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Crosby
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,443)
49.1% (847)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.7% (369)
79.5% (44)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (34)
39.5% (81)
+16.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Crosby shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Crosby
Gourde
Home
53.0% (931)
50.1% (491)
Away
53.0% (915)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Crosby
Gourde
P1
50.3%
54.7%
P2
55.4%
45.0%
P3
53.3%
49.4%
OT
47.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |