Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs Hertl 54.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Kopitar
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Kopitar
Hertl
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
18
Kopitar
Hertl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
3
Kopitar
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
1
Kopitar
Hertl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (742)
55.7% (648)
-0.2%
Power Play
63.9% (219)
60.4% (149)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (193)
42.2% (83)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kopitar is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (923).
Kopitar shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Hertl
Home
58.7% (557)
58.3% (391)
Away
55.9% (597)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Kopitar
Hertl
P1
55.9%
58.9%
P2
60.3%
51.5%
P3
55.6%
54.3%
OT
62.5%
76.9%
Final 5 min
66.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |