Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.2% vs Hertl 50.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 55.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 82.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 74.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Schenn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Schenn
Hertl
Last 8: Schenn 6-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,112)
51.5% (891)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.7% (213)
54.8% (135)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
41.5% (130)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Schenn is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Schenn shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Schenn
Hertl
Home
50.5% (709)
52.6% (544)
Away
45.4% (665)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Schenn
Hertl
P1
50.5%
49.4%
P2
47.4%
51.7%
P3
46.6%
51.4%
OT
41.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |