Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bennett wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 53.0% vs Hertl 50.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 67.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 64.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Bennett
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bennett
Hertl
Last 5: Bennett 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Bennett
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Bennett
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (177)
51.5% (891)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
54.8% (135)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (17)
41.5% (130)
+23.2%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bennett is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Bennett shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Bennett
Hertl
Home
55.1% (118)
52.6% (544)
Away
53.5% (101)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Bennett
Hertl
P1
43.6%
49.4%
P2
62.3%
51.7%
P3
58.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
60.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |