Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.3%). Hertl wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Nylander 50.9% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 56.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 66.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Hertl
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
49.2% (59)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
66.7% (3)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
100.0% (3)
-55.9%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +55.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
55.2% (696)
48.7% (39)
Away
50.0% (770)
57.7% (26)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
55.4%
47.8%
P2
54.8%
52.0%
P3
48.9%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.3%