Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.2% vs Nylander 45.2% (+19.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.3%
Neutral zone
Nylander 53.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Hertl
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (823)
41.0% (61)
+17.1%
Power Play
56.2% (265)
0.0% (5)
+56.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
59.7% (561)
42.1% (38)
Away
55.9% (562)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
51.6%
37.5%
P2
63.8%
31.0%
P3
58.6%
47.6%
Final 5 min
58.2%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
37.9%