Tomas Hertl vs William Nylander
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hertl wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.2% vs Nylander 50.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 85.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Hertl
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hertl
Nylander
Last 9: Hertl 6-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Hertl
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hertl
Nylander
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
1
Hertl
Nylander
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,268)
50.3% (1,869)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.3% (1,975)
46.9% (228)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (806)
54.8% (31)
-8.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,519).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
55.7% (5,344)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
52.8% (5,705)
48.3% (942)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
53.6%
51.3%
P2
54.1%
45.6%
P3
55.3%
53.3%
OT
46.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |