Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 55.4% vs Nylander 49.8% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 61.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.0%
Neutral zone
Nylander 55.0%
Result
William Nylander favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Hertl
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (717)
48.9% (133)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.9% (210)
55.0% (20)
+6.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
58.1% (492)
48.6% (105)
Away
53.6% (466)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
57.1%
52.1%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
56.6%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
49.7%