Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 62.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Nylander 48.4% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 70.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 76.9%
Neutral zone
Nylander 55.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Hertl
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
46.0% (100)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (77)
52.6% (19)
-8.4%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
59.2% (463)
53.6% (69)
Away
56.0% (520)
38.0% (50)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
56.3%
51.5%
P2
55.4%
37.5%
P3
60.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
47.1%