Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Nylander 47.2% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 80.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Hertl
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hertl
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
46.0% (50)
+8.1%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
33.3% (6)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
0.0% (3)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Hertl shoots left. Nylander is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Hertl
Nylander
Home
54.3% (709)
40.6% (32)
Away
55.3% (736)
44.4% (27)
By Period
Hertl
Nylander
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
53.6%
40.7%
P3
58.6%
35.7%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |