Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 46.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 62.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Novak
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (118)
49.1% (731)
-5.9%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
54.3% (81)
-6.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Novak is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Novak shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Novak
Gourde
Home
50.7% (71)
50.9% (479)
Away
37.1% (70)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Novak
Gourde
P1
44.7%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
38.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
35.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%