Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 82.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 70.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Novak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Novak
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
0
Novak
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Novak
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
51.2% (469)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
42.9% (21)
-2.0%
On even strength, Gourde has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Novak shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Novak
Gourde
Home
40.9% (110)
47.8% (301)
Away
44.5% (110)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Novak
Gourde
P1
39.1%
47.3%
P2
43.9%
53.4%
P3
44.9%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
25.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |