Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Gourde 46.0% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 80.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 79.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Novak
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
47.2% (654)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
45.0% (20)
+1.9%
On even strength, Gourde has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Novak shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Novak
Gourde
Home
42.6% (195)
44.1% (322)
Away
41.2% (216)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Novak
Gourde
P1
42.4%
42.4%
P2
39.2%
49.8%
P3
44.7%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%