Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Novak
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Novak
Gourde
Last 5: Novak 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Novak
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Novak
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
2
0
Novak
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (460)
48.0% (914)
-7.3%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
54.2% (48)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (123)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Novak shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Novak
Gourde
Home
47.0% (236)
50.2% (512)
Away
37.9% (264)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Novak
Gourde
P1
43.1%
50.0%
P2
43.1%
45.3%
P3
40.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.2%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 15:21 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |