Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 29.7% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 35.4% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.2%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 58.8%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 58.1%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Zegras
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (230)
25.0% (20)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Zegras shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Zegras
Toffoli
Home
30.6% (147)
20.0% (10)
Away
30.0% (140)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Zegras
Toffoli
P1
33.0%
80.0%
P2
31.7%
14.3%
P3
25.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
29.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%