Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Zegras
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zegras
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
0
Zegras
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zegras
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zegras
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.4% (510)
49.1% (731)
-9.7%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
54.3% (81)
-7.2%
On even strength, Gourde has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Zegras shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Zegras
Gourde
Home
42.3% (272)
50.9% (479)
Away
37.5% (272)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Zegras
Gourde
P1
37.6%
51.2%
P2
41.5%
49.8%
P3
40.8%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |