Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zegras wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 43.3% vs Gourde 48.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 55.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 61.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Zegras
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zegras
Gourde
Last 10: Zegras 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zegras
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Zegras
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (128)
48.0% (914)
-8.2%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
54.2% (48)
-32.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.9% (123)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zegras is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Zegras shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Zegras
Gourde
Home
29.7% (74)
50.2% (512)
Away
48.4% (64)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Zegras
Gourde
P1
40.7%
50.0%
P2
35.1%
45.3%
P3
41.0%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
38.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |