Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zegras wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 41.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 71.3%
Defensive zone
Zegras 57.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 65.2%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Zegras
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zegras
Gourde
Last 6: Zegras 2-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
0
Zegras
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Zegras
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zegras
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (156)
51.2% (469)
-14.7%
Power Play
40.7% (27)
42.9% (21)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
37.5% (48)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Zegras shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Zegras
Gourde
Home
38.9% (113)
47.8% (301)
Away
32.9% (73)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Zegras
Gourde
P1
40.0%
47.3%
P2
38.1%
53.4%
P3
31.6%
48.6%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |