Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zegras wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zegras 42.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Zegras
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zegras
Gourde
Last 7: Zegras 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zegras
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Zegras
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Zegras
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zegras
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (559)
49.1% (847)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
79.5% (44)
-29.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.5% (81)
+10.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Zegras shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Zegras
Gourde
Home
45.7% (247)
50.1% (491)
Away
38.0% (326)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Zegras
Gourde
P1
45.5%
54.7%
P2
36.8%
45.0%
P3
41.1%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |