Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Seguin 57.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 81.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 78.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 77.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
McDavid
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
McDavid
Seguin
Last 6: McDavid 0-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
McDavid
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
McDavid
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
McDavid
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (633)
59.6% (736)
-12.7%
Power Play
69.2% (26)
61.5% (65)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
47.6% (124)
-2.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McDavid is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
McDavid shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
McDavid
Seguin
Home
49.9% (353)
60.1% (461)
Away
45.4% (317)
56.3% (464)
By Period
McDavid
Seguin
P1
46.6%
59.1%
P2
50.9%
58.9%
P3
45.9%
57.3%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |