Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs William Karlsson
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 53.2% vs Karlsson 51.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 70.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 63.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Pageau
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pageau
Karlsson
Last 8: Pageau 2-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Pageau
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Pageau
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (826)
52.9% (719)
+0.6%
Power Play
59.2% (120)
53.5% (101)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (203)
45.2% (126)
+5.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pageau is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Pageau shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Pageau
Karlsson
Home
55.7% (618)
54.1% (547)
Away
51.0% (531)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Pageau
Karlsson
P1
52.5%
49.5%
P2
56.1%
53.2%
P3
50.8%
52.3%
OT
61.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
53.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | William Karlsson |