Nathan MacKinnon vs Zemgus Girgensons
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Girgensons 46.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.3%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 51.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 53.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Last 5: MacKinnon 4-1 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
47.3% (298)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
60.0% (5)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
28.1% (32)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
MacKinnon shoots right. Girgensons is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Home
51.2% (521)
42.1% (152)
Away
45.6% (526)
48.6% (183)
By Period
MacKinnon
Girgensons
P1
49.9%
49.6%
P2
48.0%
36.6%
P3
47.9%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |